ComingCrisis.com

Well the last few months have proven many points we have
been saying, Ben Bernanke head of the Federal Reserve in the U.S. said on Wednesday
that there needs to be reform on the entitlement programs in the U.S.

The Medicare and Social Security programs will strain the nations budget and
economy unless reform is taken, according to Mr. Bernanke.

You as well as i know that when a government person is warning about a possible
“strain” and that action needs to be taken “earlier rather than
later”, that the program is most likely in deep trouble already.

Although I do not believe that it is impossible to fix the two ailing systems,
i do believe it will be an uphill battle. The way most western society is they don’t
want to give anything up today even if it means a better tomorrow.

This problem is not only faced in the U.S. it can be argued that Canada or
England or even the rest of the E.U will face the same if not even a more harsh
reality, as the American health care system does not even come close to encompassing
the amount of costs that these other western nations do.

As usual though, for readers of the coming crisis know this is not doom and
gloom this is what we have been preparing for. You will see the health care and
social security system fail and when someone is faced with a decision of going
for surgery or selling a stock or a house, i think it is pretty obvious what
they will do.

Now some of you might be saying isn’t that cruel taking advantage of others.
The question i ask you is what if you were the one selling the stock or the
house and you needed cash for your surgery or just to survive?

It is important to be able to buy someone else’s asset off of them otherwise
the market system fails. Again any profits made could and should (at least a
portion) be donated to charity. Thus helping out the very same people.

The whole story can be read on Yahoo
but again it’s what we have been saying for a while now.

Remember be prepared and prosper!

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Some tough news coming out of the BBC right now about Intel, the worlds largest chip maker is said to be cutting up to 20,000 jobs worldwide.

It’s an effort to stop the bleeding and to raise the stock price which of as late has been flat lined (insert Jim Cramers standard sound effect)

It’s just more proof showing there is a bit of a slowdown in Intel’s sales and shows that the increased competition from AMD is taking an effect on it’s sales.

Here’s a look at it’s current stock INTC

It’s been a rough 6months for Intel and Paul Otellini share holders have been selling and there is no value investors insight.

Intel is trying to save 1 billion dollars to help boost profits.

With the layoffs anounced at Intel it will be laying off 1/5 of it’s work force.
Only time will tell Intel’s future.

Just reported on CNBC Apple Computers is recalling 1 million laptops in the US and 700,000 laptops overseas with the same issues as the dell batteries.

The Apple Laptops use the same batteries as the Dell computers which just recalled 4million batteries that were manufactured by Sony.

This leaves Sony on the hook again for 1.7million batteries with Apple and they will be expected to pay part of the tab for apple.

http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7b79C2FF40-6EFA-499B-B2A8-2E881C0203B3%7d&siteid=yhoo&dist=yhoo

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Don Hays The great Don Hays, a friend (meaning we love him but he doesn’t know us!) was on CNBC this morning He said “I believe that the market will take one more significant dip before it goes higher”

Mark from Squawk Box: ” So you are still bullish on this market?” Don Hays: “Yes” Don Hays is one of a few people that Harry S. Dent Jr. uses when looking at the market. He is a trusted source and we here at comingcrisis.com when making investment decisions weight him higher than other market forecasters, as he has a very favorable past. Who Do You Trust? One point that I wanted to address is that of people that you listen to.

Who are your trusted sources?

Why are they your trusted sources?

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Ok definitely the call was to early, are we starting to see a pullback in gold now? you be the judge

This chart is looking like it! But it will really depend on the upcoming housing, and other market moving data!

What we are looking for is any data showing the U.S. economy looking weak, this would be a good sign as the federal reserve should stop raising interest rates.
This last little rally in commodities should begin to stop once there is a clear pattern the FED is going to stop with the rates.

The year is 2020 and the world is starting to recover from the great technology bubble of 2012, alot has happened since the glory days.

The US after recovering from the collapse of the dollar, and finally voting out the far left wing government that has been ruling ever since the baby boom generation has kept them in power, has finally broken there ties and now have voted in a more moderate government that has agreed to keep the interests of both the baby boom generation and the new younger generation.

A funny thing has happened, while everyone was concerned about the baby boom generation’s effect on the economy no one really noticed the echo baby boomer’s sneaking up and ambushing the economy, the oldest of the echo boomer’s have just turned 42 and are now starting to take top level positions in companies and in the government.

While the war on terror still rages on, the major turning point was when France declared marshall law after an uprising from the north Africa community which now represents 20% of the french population. This turning point was the begging of a global trend in the west, were the peoples started turning on the muslim community. This was a mistake with the mulism community making up 20% of all people in the world, it led to wide spread fighting all over the globe, not a traditional war, but a new advanced war.

People fought hard, community against community, man vs man, and company vs company. The people who lost the most were the poor, there was now a new modern form of warfare that has never been seen before…. financial warfare, where companies and the ultra elite rich would exploit the financial systems of countries and literally bankrupt a country over night. The internet allowed people to transfer massive amounts of money with a single click.

Finally a peace treaty is worked out among all democratic communities, even the recently joined China, which has only held on to democracy for 3 years now, the world realized that you could not single out a terrorist by their religion, now they have realized that the “evil doers” come in all shapes and sizes.

Something is different on this day, something changed, it was only a small article on the news that day and had only been read by 700,000 readers (a very small figure for a online news service with worldwide subscriber base of more than 200million) but apparently William (Bill) Gates the III (now 65) has decided to give windows away to the open source community. In a move that only a decade earlier would have been considered ludacris, the decision almost made sense. The company Microsoft only dervies about 10% of it’s annual income from the operating system sales and now obtains almost 90% from “web services”.

It was still a controversial move and shareholders let Bill Gates know how they felt and sold Microsoft’s stock off to end the day down 20% the largest one day decline in the company’s history. The company’s operating system was now only being used in third world countries, as the rest of the world switched to the direct net system, where any program could be run online.

This week we are looking at a few different companies, one stock we closely follow here is Akamai Technologies Inc (AKAM)

they have some great fundamental numbers, with a 33PE (price to earnings ratio) and a 4 billion dollar market cap this company is positioned perfectly to profit from the next great internet boom, they handle internet traffic. e.g. March Madness, when the NCAA needed to stream video to millions of people who were watching on the internet they came to Akamai, which has solutions to help the traffic move smoothly. You should be looking to pick up some Akamai between $29-$26/share

The other company we are keeping a close eye on is Las Vegas Sands Corporation. The chart for them is looking good!

But we would need to see a pull back before we would want to get involved, if it breaks below $60 then pick some up anywhere between $60-$55 if we are lucky.

Again this company is great because of the leadership of Mr. Sheldon G. Adelson he is quite the man, this is one of the biggest bets of his life, he is basically risking all he has on the expansion of Macao, which is one thing we love to see, on the other hand he might pull a Kirk Kerkorian but with the way Macao has been preforming to date that is not the case.

So again these are just stocks we are watching and we will see in the coming weeks.

(Full disclosure as of this moment ComingCrisis.com, The author, or family members hold no position in the companies mentioned.)

As of writing this it’s 1:30pm and gold is down another $4, with inflation worries and global politics issues i do not belive yet that gold is in “bear” mode but i do belive it may be time to start looking at alternative investments (i.e stocks) everyone knows the cardinal rule in investing is buy low sell high, right now although the stock market is by no means low(Dow:11,076 Nasdaq:2262 S&P 500:1281 and teh TSX 11,833) It is condsidered in poor shape, just look at this chart……

The MACD is showing we are going to go through another couple weeks(two to three most likley) and the RSI and W%R are showing the market is staring to be “oversold” but will still need a couple weeks to get it out of “it’s” system.

The main worries right now our Iran and Iraq

Today is March 13th 2006 and it was exactly 20 years ago today the most successful technology company of all time came to market.

The year was 1986 Chernobyl was being covered up by the Russian government, the Iran Contra Affair was in full swing and in the NBA The Boston Celtics took the Houston Rockets in 6 games. The most popular song was “That’s What Friends Are For” … Dionne Warwick and Friends and the top movie was Alien , those were the days.

There was also a rather small company changing the way the world was computing, and about to make many early investors and employees (who took stock options) very happy.

The performace of microsoft’s stock has been absolutley stunning as everyone knows, just to give you a few examples if had invested only $3000 at there ipo price of $21 a share it would be worth in excess of 1.1 million, another intresting fact is that Microsoft’s stock has split 9 times, so that same $3000 you would have 40,000+ shares (now that doesnt hurt). We all know Microsoft is one of those rare companies that people wish they had invested in, but now a days all the talk seems to be surrounding Google. Which is very understandable since the stock has put in a great preformance so far, only recently falling on hard times.

The Comparision

Microsoft - The company that popularized the “windows” style (not the inventor, that goes to Xerox Parc, probley the biggest screw up company in the history of the world) and basically owns the Operating System business still to this day, was in the “sweet spot” they were in the right place at the right period in time, when computers were not really able to talk to each other, so the progress was limited. They dominated that spot for now 20 years, but the harder times are now coming, even the chief Bill has declared that the OS’s days are running out, people are now migrating to a simper style of computing. A style which is much more dependant on web services, i would boldly predict that within the next 10 years
you may not even have an opoerating system, your computer would just boot up instantly to your personal “homepage” it’s basically your homebase on what you want to do.

So what are shareholders left to think?

Well as with all other things Bill does he is thinking ahead many many years into the future and he has realized that web services are the future, so as a shareholder (as i am full disclosure people) i think you are in a good spot as Microsoft is gearing up to take over the living room and many other things you never thought of, i.e. the mobile phone with the switching of Palm Treo to the Microsoft mobile OS can it be only a matter of time till the Redmond boys own the phone market too?

I don’t know what the future hold all i know is that the past is a great indication of the future, but remeber just a when you drive you can’t only look in the rear view mirror, that’s how accidents are caused =)
Google

Google ipo’d in August 19th 2004 at $100 a share, since then it has gone on a meteoric rise to the high of $475 and more recently come down to the $350’s.

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Here at the ComingCrisis.com we are here for the people. Our goal is simple to educate and inform the masses about the changes coming in the new millennium.

The problem with traditional media is it is biased, and sometimes but not always has an agenda.

Our sole aim is to provide a “lens” on the specific subject of the upcoming baby boomer crisis, and the issues that go along with it.

A little background on this subject. During the early 1900’s the world and more specifically the United states went under a major economic boom, the reason now see for that boom was the generation that was alive then was larger than the previous generation by a significant amount (think of it as a 1900’s baby boom) also at that time there was a massive shift in technology.

The newest form’s of technology were the automobile, of which there were over one thousand different manufactures. Electricity which was just hitting the streets of new york, and was being rolled out across the country.

Also the radio had just be invented and changed the way the world communicated with each other.

With the merging of all these technologies came the great boom of the 1920’s all the way up till 1929 when the stock market crashed and the great depression began. Although there is great debate but it is believed the stock market crash help trigger the slide into the depression but by no means was the cause.

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